Target-Date Fund Risk Games: Change the Accounting, Declare the Portfolio Safer

By Chris Tobe, CFA, CAIA | The CommonSense 401k Project

There is a dangerous way to make a target-date fund look safer without making workers’ retirement savings safer.

Keep publicly traded stocks and bonds marked to market. Add private equity and private credit valued through infrequent appraisals and discretionary models. Perhaps add insurance contracts whose reported values follow contractual accounting.

Then feed those incompatible return histories into a standard-deviation and correlation model.

The assets with the slowest recognition of changing economic conditions can emerge as the portfolio’s supposed stabilizers.

The spreadsheet can reward the delay in recognizing risk—and justify putting more retirement money into the investments creating that delay.

That is the risk game.

As I argued in “The Diversification Lie,” a smooth reported return is not proof of economic stability. When those returns drive target-date selection, the accounting distortion becomes a fiduciary problem.

Standard deviation measures the numbers supplied to it

Standard deviation measures variation in a return series. It cannot determine whether those returns accurately and promptly reflect changing asset values.

A publicly traded security records market movements as they occur. A private investment may incorporate the same economic deterioration through several subsequent valuation updates.

Spread recognition of a loss over several periods, and measured volatility can fall. The underlying business has not necessarily become safer. Its debt has not disappeared. Its refinancing needs have not diminished.

The IMF has identified stale and potentially subjective valuations, fragile borrowers, and multiple layers of leverage as vulnerabilities in private credit. These are substantive risks that a smooth historical return series may fail to reveal.

Correlation can reward the same accounting delay

Suppose public stocks fall sharply this quarter while private-company valuations adjust next quarter.

A same-quarter correlation calculation can suggest that the two investments move independently. Yet both may be responding to the same economic shock, recorded on different schedules.

That creates an apparent diversification benefit from delayed measurement.

Different businesses can provide real diversification. But fiduciaries must distinguish diversification of economic exposure from differences in when losses enter the books.

A different accounting clock is not a different economic risk.

The allocation model can turn the distortion into a recommendation

In a conventional mean-variance model, an investment offering an attractive assumed return, low volatility, and low correlation can receive a larger allocation.

If those favorable inputs reflect valuation smoothing, the model can allocate more money because the risk was measured poorly.

The same problem can affect consultant scorecards even when no optimizer determines the portfolio. A target-date series may receive a favorable ranking for lower historical volatility, smaller reported drawdowns, or an attractive risk-adjusted return.

Consider two hypothetical funds with similar economic exposures. One recognizes changing values promptly. The other recognizes some changes gradually. A scorecard may penalize the first for volatility and praise the second for stability.

The manager recognizing losses promptly can look worse than the manager recognizing them slowly.

Not every target-date manager uses unadjusted historical data. Some use forward-looking assumptions, public-market proxies, or adjustments for valuation lag. The question is whether those corrections were made, whether they were credible, and whether the committee examined them.

A glossy “lower-risk” chart supplies none of those answers.

A daily price does not establish daily price discovery

A target-date fund can publish a daily net asset value while incorporating underlying private-asset valuations that remain substantially unchanged between periodic updates.

Daily calculation of the outer fund’s price does not establish daily revaluation of everything inside it.

The move from a mutual fund to a CIT does not automatically create this problem. A CIT holding the same publicly priced securities may have substantially similar investment risk.

The concern is what the new structure permits the manager to put inside—and what participants and fiduciaries can discover about it.

If a target-date fund combines market prices, private valuations, and contractual values, its risk analysis must explain how those differences were handled. Simply blending the return series can manufacture an appearance of comparability that the underlying measurements do not support.

Why this becomes a fiduciary issue

ERISA requires fiduciaries to act prudently and loyally and to diversify investments to minimize the risk of large losses, unless the circumstances make diversification clearly imprudent. Those duties concern participants’ actual economic interests.

DOL’s target-date guidance tells fiduciaries to investigate the fund’s strategies and the risks of its underlying investments. Selecting a retirement-year label and accepting the provider’s risk chart does not satisfy that investigation.

A serious fiduciary concern arises when a committee:

  • Selects a target-date series because of supposedly lower volatility without investigating valuation lag.
  • Accepts diversification claims based on correlations calculated from mismatched valuation schedules.
  • Treats smooth returns as a substitute for examining leverage, liquidity, and credit exposure.
  • Pays higher fees for a claimed risk reduction that depends materially on untested accounting assumptions.
  • Continues relying on the same presentation after receiving evidence that its inputs are unreliable.

These are failures of investigation and judgment that can exist before a market collapse exposes the portfolio.

A subsequent loss does not automatically establish a breach. But fiduciaries should not need a collapse to discover that their selection process compared unlike measurements as though they were equivalent.

Consultants cannot turn questionable inputs into prudent advice by adding a logo

Consultants are hired because committees need expertise. That makes the treatment of valuation smoothing central to the service being purchased.

What data did the consultant use? Were private-asset returns adjusted? Were public-market proxies considered? Did the consultant test whether the recommended allocation survived higher volatility and correlation assumptions?

Did the consultant explain the difference between reported volatility and economic risk?

Where a consultant acts as an ERISA fiduciary, its advice is subject to fiduciary obligations. Its precise legal status depends on its role and the applicable law. A plan committee also retains responsibilities for prudent selection and monitoring of its advisers; hiring expertise does not make those responsibilities disappear.

A particularly troubling situation arises when a consultant understands the smoothing problem but presents the resulting low-risk numbers without a meaningful explanation. Compensation or commercial relationships favoring the recommended products would demand additional scrutiny.

An expert’s presentation should expose the measurement problem. It should not give the problem professional cover.

Congress should make the risk game visible

Litigation alone is an inadequate disclosure system. Workers should not have to suffer losses, locate counsel, and fight through discovery to learn how their default retirement investment was classified as safe.

Congress should require a standardized Form 5500 attachment for target-date and other multiasset funds, covering material underlying investments regardless of their legal structure.

The attachment should disclose:

  • How assets are valued and how often underlying valuations substantively change.
  • The volatility and correlation assumptions actually used to justify allocations.
  • Whether and how those assumptions address smoothing and valuation lag.
  • How estimated risk and recommended allocations change under prescribed alternative assumptions.
  • Material leverage, withdrawal restrictions, and unfunded commitments.
  • Information the manager refused or failed to provide.

The decisive disclosure is a side-by-side test: Does the “safer” portfolio still look safer when the accounting assumptions change?

The law should require consistent sensitivity methods while identifying adjusted results as estimates. It should also require investment providers to supply the information and committees to document their review.

“Proprietary” should not be an excuse for concealing the material assumptions used to allocate workers’ retirement savings.

Workers deserve economic risk analysis

Standard deviation and correlation are useful tools when the data and assumptions suit the question. They become misleading when treated as complete measures of risk across assets whose values are recognized on fundamentally different schedules.

A portfolio can become more leveraged, less liquid, and more expensive while its reported volatility falls.

Calling that portfolio safer without investigating the measurement distortion is a claim fiduciaries should have to substantiate.

Retirement money should be allocated according to economic risk—not according to which manager has the smoothest accounting.

401(k): Who Is Your Regulator—DOL, SEC, Iowa, Nevada, or the Caymans?

How Private Equity Will Sneak Into Your Retirement Account

Private equity wants access to your 401(k). The easiest route is to bury its contracts inside an investment with a reassuring name: a target-date fund.

Private equity contracts can impose fees and expenses 20 times those of low-cost 401(k) investments. A 2% annual management fee alone is 20 times a 0.10% fund expense ratio—before carried interest and additional expenses. Managers also exercise enormous discretion over valuations used to calculate their reported performance.

My position is straightforward: no competent, honest, transparent regulatory system should permit retirement investments to hide their full costs or let managers mark their own performance scorecards without rigorous, independent scrutiny.

The industry wants access to workers’ retirement savings without accepting the transparency and accountability associated with SEC-registered mutual funds. Collective investment trusts, or CITs, provide a route around that mutual-fund framework.

Your retirement account can remain subject to ERISA while the investments inside it move through a maze of different regulatory systems.

The Department of Labor oversees ERISA fiduciary obligations. The SEC regulates registered mutual funds. State and Federal Banking regulators supervise CIT trustees. State insurance departments regulate annuity issuers. Private funds add another layer of legal entities, contracts, exemptions, and sometimes offshore domiciles.

Each layer gives the industry another opportunity to obscure who holds the money, who sets the fees, who values the assets, and who is responsible when something goes wrong.

The Target-Date Doorway

Target-date funds are a powerful distribution channel because employers frequently select them as the plan’s default investment, known as a qualified default investment alternative, or QDIA. Workers can end up in these products without making an affirmative investment selection.

Historically, a target-date portfolio generally combined stock and bond funds, changing their proportions as the retirement date approached. The industry’s ambition is to add private equity, private credit, annuities, and other lucrative contracts to that mix.

The investment wrapper is already changing.  Mutual funds were  71%  of target date funds in 2015.  By the end of 2025, CITs held 54% of target-date assets, leaving mutual funds with approximately 46%. CITs have become the majority vehicle in the target-date market.

CITs are exempt from the registration framework that applies to mutual funds.  Most CIT trustees are state-chartered trustees with weak oversight and controls.

Follow the Money laundered by layers of  Weak Regulators

Consider a plan offering five target-date funds: 2030, 2040, 2050, 2060, and 2070. Each uses a different allocation among six underlying investments.

The outer target-date vehicle is a CIT administered by a Nevada-chartered trust company. Inside it, the money travels through additional layers:

Underlying investmentIntermediate vehicleContract or investment inside it
Large-cap equityOregon-chartered trustee’s CITS&P 500 index exposure through a separate-account annuity issued by an Iowa-domiciled insurer
Small-cap equityPennsylvania-chartered trustee’s CITSmall-cap index exposure through a separate-account annuity issued by a Connecticut-domiciled insurer
International equityOregon-chartered trustee’s CITInternational index exposure through a separate-account annuity issued by a Kansas-domiciled insurer
Fixed incomeOregon-chartered trustee’s CITGeneral-account fixed annuity issued by an Iowa-domiciled insurer
Private creditNevada-chartered trustee’s CITInterest in a Delaware-domiciled private credit fund
Private equityNevada-chartered trustee’s CITInterest in a Cayman Islands-domiciled private equity fund

This is an illustrative composite based on structures I have encountered or seen in development. It is not a claim that one identified plan currently holds this exact combination.

The insurer’s domiciliary state identifies its primary insurance regulator. A private fund’s Delaware or Cayman domicile identifies where the entity is organized; it does not, by itself, establish who regulates its investment manager or what investor protections apply.

That is precisely why Congress must require both domicile and actual regulatory jurisdiction to be disclosed.

A worker may think “large-cap equity” means ownership of a conventional stock fund. In this example, the worker’s exposure runs through a CIT and an insurance contract. The words “private equity” reveal even less about the underlying partnership agreement, valuation practices, fee arrangements, leverage, and withdrawal restrictions.

A single target-date label can conceal a chain of contracts spanning several states and an offshore jurisdiction.

Disclosure Must Reach the Underlying Contracts

Existing disclosures do not give participants a uniform, comprehensive map through every layer of a multi-asset retirement investment.

Workers need to know more than the outer fund’s name, allocation, and reported expense ratio. They need to know:

  • What legal entities and contracts actually hold their retirement money.
  • Which regulator supervises each trustee, insurer, fund, and investment manager—and which activities that supervision covers.
  • Every layer of fees, expenses, carried interest, insurance spreads, and payments to affiliates or service providers.
  • Who values the investments, how performance is calculated, and whether reported returns receive independent verification.
  • What happens when participants want their money back, an insurer is downgraded, or a private fund suspends withdrawals.

A regulator overseeing the trustee is not necessarily examining every underlying contract for the protections workers assume they have.

Congress should prohibit the use of regulatory layering to conceal information that would have to be disclosed if the plan held the underlying investment directly.

Congress Must Act Regardless of Intel

The Supreme Court’s Anderson v. Intel case concerns whether an investment-underperformance claim must identify a “meaningful benchmark” to survive the pleading stage. That decision could affect whether participants reach discovery and obtain evidence about complicated investment arrangements. It does not directly decide a comprehensive statutory right to underlying-investment disclosure.

Large plans can use master trusts and custom portfolios to create similar layers of complexity. Congress must cover those structures alongside CITs and mutual funds.

Workers should not have to file a lawsuit, defeat a motion to dismiss, and spend years pursuing discovery to learn where their retirement money went.

Transparency must be a statutory obligation that applies before the money is invested.

Congress should require a standardized Underlying Investment and Regulatory Disclosure Schedule attached to Form 5500 and available to participants without charge. It should cover every target-date fund, CIT, master trust, separate account, and other pooled or multi-asset arrangement used by an ERISA plan.

The schedule should require:

  1. Complete identification of every underlying fund and investment contract, through every intermediate layer, including its legal name, structure, domicile, and share of plan assets.
  2. Identification of every responsible regulator, the entity and activity it supervises, and applicable registration exemptions. “SEC-registered adviser” must never substitute for disclosure that the fund itself is unregistered.
  3. Full disclosure of costs at every level, in dollars and percentages, including management fees, carried interest, fund expenses, underlying portfolio-company charges, insurance spreads, commissions, and affiliate payments.
  4. Standardized performance and valuation disclosures, including gross and net returns, valuation methods, independent verification, and whether a fund claims compliance with recognized performance-reporting standards.
  5. Complete liquidity and credit-risk disclosures, including lockups, gates, surrender charges, market-value adjustments, capital commitments, downgrade provisions, and rights following issuer default.
  6. Public access to governing investment contracts and material amendments, with no confidentiality clause permitted to override the disclosure obligation.

Trade-secret claims should never conceal fees, valuation methods, withdrawal restrictions, or regulatory jurisdiction from the workers whose savings finance these investments.

The legislative principle is simple: if an investment receives tax-favored retirement money, its managers must disclose what they are selling, what they are charging, how they calculate performance, and who regulates them.

A retirement date on the label is no excuse for secrecy underneath.

Before private equity gets another dollar of workers’ default retirement savings, Congress should require the industry to open the books.

AT&T’s Athene Pension Transfer: State Street Must Answer—But the Sponsor Gets Out

By Christopher B. Tobe | The CommonSense 401k Project

Some accountability has survived in the AT&T pension risk transfer litigation.

On September 28, 2026, Judge Nathaniel Gorton dismissed the claims against AT&T while allowing a prudence claim against State Street to proceed. The litigation concerns AT&T’s $8.05 billion transfer of pension obligations to Athene in 2023. State Street had been given responsibility for selecting the annuity provider. This is a chance to examine that selection—. [1]

For retirees concerned about being moved into an insurer’s fixed annuity, that opening matters. The question is whether the fiduciary adequately protected the people whose lifetime income would depend on the selected insurer.

Hiring a Consultant Is Not the Same as Delegating the Decision

The dismissal of AT&T raises an understandable question: In 401(k) litigation, hiring a consultant generally does not eliminate the plan committee’s responsibility. Why did AT&T get out here?

The distinction is decision-making authority.

When a consultant recommends investments and a committee makes the decisions, the committee remains responsible for those decisions. A valid delegation of discretionary authority can change who is responsible for the delegated function. That principle can apply in a 401(k) plan as well as a pension risk transfer.

ERISA nevertheless preserves responsibility for a fiduciary’s own conduct in establishing and continuing a delegation, and for specified forms of participation in another fiduciary’s breach. Delegation is not blanket immunity. [3]

Here, the court found insufficient allegations that AT&T influenced the selection, ignored warning signs, failed to monitor State Street, or knew of a breach. That is a conclusion about the allegations in this case—not a rule that employers can escape all fiduciary responsibility by hiring an outside firm. [1,2]

My concern is practical: How much can retirees know about the sponsor’s role before they obtain the internal documents? The appointment agreement, instructions, communications and oversight records may reveal far more than a public announcement saying an “independent fiduciary” selected the insurer.

A Pension Promise Has Value Before a Check Is Missed

The surviving claim also carries an important recognition: A pension annuity can allegedly be less valuable because it is riskier, even while payments continue.

The court maintained its standing determination and allowed State Street’s prudence claim to advance. It left disputes over insurer comparisons and the protection afforded by Athene’s separate account for later factual examination. Only Count IV survives; the other claims were dismissed. [2]

That approach is more sensible than requiring retirees to wait for an insurer’s failure.

In my earlier article on the Lumen litigation, I criticized the idea that retirees have suffered no injury because the Athene “time bomb” has not exploded. The economic question is the value of the replacement promise when it is received—not merely whether this month’s payment arrives. [5]

A pension risk transfer requires scrutiny of the protections surrendered and the protections received. Retirees deserve an explanation of who now owes their benefits, which assets support them, what happens under financial stress, and what recourse remains.

State Street’s Selection Deserves Examination

The Department of Labor’s annuity-selection framework calls for examining the insurer’s portfolio quality and diversification, capital, size relative to the transaction, other liabilities, contract structure and guaranty protections. It directs fiduciaries toward the safest available annuity, subject to a participant-interest qualification. [4]

Those considerations support concrete questions for discovery:

  • Which insurers were realistically available, and how did their bids compare?
  • What did State Street examine concerning affiliated investments, private credit, reinsurance and liquidity?
  • What legal protection does the separate account actually provide?
  • What happens after a serious downgrade, and are there enforceable remedies?
  • What information did State Street provide to AT&T, and what oversight followed?

A separate-account label should lead to examination of enforceable contract rights. It should not end the inquiry.

My policy position remains that retirees need meaningful downgrade protections before insurer distress becomes insolvency. Whether this particular contract contains adequate protections must be established from the contract and supporting evidence.

The Epstein Files Add Questions About Candor

The Epstein disclosures deserve mention, with precise attribution.

The Financial Times reported that Jeffrey Epstein proposed an Athene-related tax plan he claimed could save Apollo’s co-founders as much as $300 million, seeking a 25 percent success fee.. [6]

In February 2026, the AFT and AAUP asked the SEC to investigate whether Apollo’s disclosures accurately described its executives’ dealings with Epstein. Their letter cited released documents concerning Athene and tax matters. These are concerns raised in a request for investigation, not findings of wrongdoing. [7]

These later disclosures cannot automatically establish what State Street should have known in 2023. They do, however, reinforce the need to examine the reliability of representations, governance and due diligence involving the Apollo-Athene organization.

Some Accountability Is Better Than a Closed Courthouse Door

AT&T’s dismissal is disappointing. But State Street must still defend the prudence of its insurer selection.

The surviving claim offers an opportunity to examine whether retirees received the protection a prudent fiduciary should have obtained. Discovery should establish the available alternatives, the risks examined, the contractual safeguards and the actual decision process.

Retirees should not have to experience an insurer failure before the fiduciary’s work can be scrutinized.

Sources

[1] PLANSPONSOR, September 30, 2026: https://www.plansponsor.com/judge-allows-prt-claims-against-state-street-dismisses-counts-against-att/

[2] Your ERISA Watch, September 30, 2026, summary of Piercy v. AT&T Inc., No. 24-10608-NMG, 2026 WL 2905359 (D. Mass. Sept. 28, 2026): https://www.yourerisawatch.com/2026/09/your-erisa-watch-week-of-september-30-2026/

[3] ERISA §405, 29 U.S.C. §1105: https://www.law.cornell.edu/uscode/text/29/1105

[4] DOL report to Congress on Interpretive Bulletin 95-1: https://www.dol.gov/sites/dolgov/files/EBSA/laws-and-regulations/laws/secure-2.0/report-to-congress-on-interpretive-bulletin-95-1.pdf

[5] Prior CommonSense articles:

[6] Financial Times, “Apollo chief Marc Rowan consulted Epstein on firm’s tax affairs”: https://www.ft.com/content/092d9e44-ec17-4da7-8b58-e43bf09113ab

[7] AFT/AAUP letter to the SEC, February 17, 2026: https://www.aft.org/sites/default/files/media/documents/2026/Letter_to_SEC_re_Apollo_Global_Management_February_17_2026.pdf

Intel’s 401(k) Case: Will the Supreme Court Choose Transparency and Accountability—or Enrich the Private Equity Industry?

By Christopher B. Tobe — The CommonSense 401k Project

On Tuesday, October 6, the Supreme Court will hear oral argument in Anderson v. Intel Corporation Investment Policy Committee. The immediate question concerns what workers must allege before a lawsuit challenging imprudent retirement investments can proceed. The practical stakes reach much further: can fiduciaries place workers’ savings in complicated private investment structures, then use those structures’ uniqueness to make accountability harder?

Tuesday is the argument, not the decision. But the choice taking shape deserves public attention. Supreme Court docket

Private equity’s representatives understand the stakes. The American Investment Council and Managed Funds Association filed a brief supporting Intel. They argue that affirming the meaningful-benchmark standard would reduce litigation risk and encourage alternative investments in 401(k)s. They portray litigation as an obstacle to workers receiving better returns and diversification. I see a different danger: making accountability harder can make expensive products easier to sell. Industry brief

The retirement industry’s sales opportunity is clear. The participant’s benefit still needs to be demonstrated.

The Court already explained who bears the loss

In Thole v. U.S. Bank in 2020, the Court’s majority denied standing to DB pensioners whose fixed benefits had been paid and would remain the same regardless of the lawsuit’s outcome. Justice Kavanaugh expressly contrasted those benefits with 401(k) accounts, whose value depends on investment decisions.

Your employer generally bears the funding obligation for a traditional DB pension. In a DC plan, investment losses and excessive investment costs reduce the account supporting your retirement.

Justice Sotomayor’s dissent, joined by Justices Ginsburg, Breyer and Kagan, argued that beneficiaries had an enforceable interest in their retirement trust’s financial integrity. She warned against preventing pensioners from challenging mismanagement until pensions approached default. The dissent emphasized trust protections, fiduciary duties and participants’ ability to enforce them. Majority and dissent

Thole did not grant automatic standing for every DC claim, and it was not a ruling specifically about private equity losses. But its economic distinction matters: a worker whose own account suffers investment harm presents a different situation from a pensioner whose fixed payment is unaffected.

Intel shows how the pension structure reaches the 401(k)

Intel’s filings provide a concrete example. Its 2015 401(k) report described a master trust containing assets of the 401(k), Retirement Contribution Plan and Minimum Pension Plan. Automatically enrolled participants’ deferrals went into target-date funds investing in master trust accounts. The underlying investments included hedge funds and private equity, venture capital, private credit and other private assets. Some closed-end holdings could not be redeemed on a presently determinable date. Intel’s 2015 filing

The structure later changed. Intel’s 2019 report states that investments moved into units of proprietary collective investment trust funds in January 2018. The master trust was dissolved in January 2019, with the 401(k)’s interests transferred to a separate trust. The report identified all three plans as participating in the CIT trust. Intel’s 2019 filing

That history matters. A participant can hold an interest in a target-date fund, which holds pooled investment interests, which ultimately expose the worker to private funds and their contractual terms.

These filings disclose the structures; they do not prove intentional concealment. My concern is that reporting an investment as units in a pooled vehicle can leave the underlying economics several layers away from the worker trying to understand them.

Pooling DB and DC investments does not pool the employer’s promise to pay a fixed pension. The 401(k) participant still bears the account’s investment results.

A benchmark can help—or protect the decision being challenged

Intel defended its strategy as a way to reduce volatility and downside risk. The Ninth Circuit found the plaintiffs’ comparisons inadequate because the proposed comparator funds had different objectives and risks. Judge Berzon’s concurrence nevertheless stressed that an empirical comparator is not universally required to plead imprudence. Ninth Circuit opinion

Fair comparisons matter. A stock-heavy fund’s higher return during a bull market does not, by itself, establish that a more conservative portfolio was imprudent.

But a benchmark built around the challenged allocation answers a limited question: how did the selected allocation perform against a representation of itself? It does not necessarily answer whether choosing that allocation was prudent for participants in the first place.

If the complaint challenges substantial private equity exposure, requiring a comparator with substantially the same exposure risks assuming the wisdom of the decision under challenge.

A custom strategy should face meaningful evaluation of its total costs, liquidity, valuation practices, conflicts and expected benefits. Its uniqueness should not become a shield.

Workers need a fair path to the evidence

Committee records, manager agreements, fee arrangements and the analysis supporting a private investment allocation can be essential to evaluating prudence. Workers ordinarily have far less access to those materials than fiduciaries and their advisers.

A pleading rule should require facts supporting a plausible claim. It should also recognize where the evidence resides. Demanding a near duplicate investment before discovery can make the most complicated arrangements the hardest to challenge.

My earlier CommonSense articles warned about secrecy and benchmarks and corporate relationships that can compete with participants’ interests. Intel brings those concerns to the courthouse door.

The Court should preserve a realistic path for workers to challenge plausibly imprudent decisions and obtain the evidence needed to evaluate them. That would not predetermine Intel’s liability. It would preserve accountability.

Private equity managers want access to workers’ retirement savings. Workers deserve access to an effective process for protecting those savings.

The Supreme Court already recognized in Thole that 401(k) participants bear the investment consequences. It should ensure that they also have a fair opportunity to enforce the fiduciary protections that accompany them.

Intel Update: A “Meaningful Benchmark” Must Not Become a Shield for 600-Basis-Point Fees

By Christopher B. Tobe | The CommonSense 401k Project | October 6, 2026

Tuesday’s Supreme Court argument in Anderson v. Intel Corporation Investment Policy Committee sharpened the concern raised in my October 5 article: can a retirement investment become so customized that its design protects it from meaningful accountability?

Bloomberg Law reports that the justices appeared receptive to requiring meaningful comparisons for claims based on investment underperformance, while debating how precisely to define that requirement. Justice Amy Coney Barrett raised the danger that language requiring similar aims and strategies could lead lower courts to demand an investment “twin.” These are signals from oral argument, not a ruling. [1]

That distinction could determine whether workers obtain the evidence needed to examine expensive investments inside their 401(k)s.

My concern about target-date funds is that their varying allocations create a convenient barrier to comparison. Different retirement dates, glide paths, stock-bond mixes and alternative investments allow providers to argue that almost any competing fund is insufficiently similar.

I believe the industry has incentives to design and promote structures that make transparency and accountability harder. I believe that blocking transparency to protect fees was the original purpose of target-date funds. The immediate problem is their potential use today: each additional layer of customization can become another reason to reject a participant’s comparison.

Workers should not have to find a duplicate of a disputed investment decision before they can question that decision.

Fees provide a particularly revealing example. Morningstar’s research identifies expense ratios as a strong predictor of future fund success. In its 2016 study, the cheapest U.S. equity funds had a 62% success rate, compared with 20% for the most expensive group; success meant surviving and outperforming their category. That evidence concerns the funds studied, rather than every private equity investment, but it reinforces why costs deserve serious scrutiny. [2]

Future gross returns are uncertain. Fees reduce what participants keep.

Consider a simplified hypothetical allocation within a target-date fund—not an assertion about Intel’s actual holdings or charges:

ComponentAllocationAnnual component costContribution to portfolio cost
Large-cap equity index fund90%10 basis points (0.10%)9 basis points
Private equity10%600 basis points (6.00%)60 basis points
Total100%—69 basis points (0.69%)

The 10% private equity sleeve produces approximately 87% of the combined investment cost. On $100 million, these assumed costs equal $690,000 annually: $90,000 for the index allocation and $600,000 for private equity.

An allocation entirely to the 10-basis-point index fund would cost $100,000 annually. The difference is $590,000. That comparison isolates the cost burden; it does not establish that the two portfolios have identical risks or that the all-index portfolio is the appropriate retirement allocation.

The private equity sleeve would need to earn 5.9 percentage points more annually before fees than the index sleeve simply to offset its additional assumed cost, holding the other 90% unchanged. Whether it can justify that hurdle, its risks and its liquidity restrictions deserves examination.

The assumed 600 basis points represent the sleeve’s annual economic cost for this illustration. Actual private equity costs must be examined from the agreements and accounts: management fees, carried interest, fund expenses, offsets and additional layers of charges. A headline expense ratio may not answer every economic-cost question, and overlapping charges must not be counted twice.

Now consider how a rigid benchmark rule could frustrate that examination.

Participants identify a lower-cost target-date alternative. The defense responds that it lacks the same private equity allocation. Participants identify a low-cost public equity alternative for the expensive sleeve. The defense responds that public equity follows a different strategy.

If those differences end the case before discovery, the expensive allocation becomes part of its own protection. Workers are effectively told to accept the disputed design before they can challenge its economics.

A benchmark matching the private equity allocation may help evaluate implementation. It cannot, by itself, establish that choosing the allocation was prudent. Nor does a different overall allocation make component fees impossible to examine.

The Supreme Court should preserve that distinction. Comparing realized performance requires attention to risk, objectives and investment exposure. A plausible challenge to excessive costs, conflicts or the process used to approve an allocation presents additional questions. Plaintiffs still need supporting facts, but a search for an identical portfolio should not automatically displace those questions.

Discovery can establish what fiduciaries actually reviewed: the complete compensation arrangements, expected net benefits, available alternatives, liquidity terms and reasons for selecting expensive private investments. Those records can support or undermine a claim. A customized portfolio should remain open to that examination.

My October 5 article warned that uniqueness could become a shield. Tuesday’s argument makes the danger more concrete.

The Court should ensure that “meaningful benchmark” means a useful tool for evaluating a claim. If it becomes a requirement to reproduce the very allocation being challenged, it can protect high fees and discourage scrutiny.

Workers deserve to know what each investment costs, why it was selected and what evidence justified paying more. A target-date label should not make those questions harder to ask.

Sources

[1] Bloomberg Law, Jacklyn Wille, “Justices Debate How Much 401(k) Benchmark Guidance to Give,” October 6, 2026.

[2] Morningstar, “Study by Morningstar’s Russel Kinnel Shows Fund Fees are Proven Predictors of Future Success,” May 5, 2016.

https://newsroom.morningstar.com/news/news-details/2016/Study-by-Morningstars-Russel-Kinnel-Shows-Fund-Fees-are-Proven-Predictors-of-Future-Success/default.aspx

Prior article:

Cohan’s New Book on Jeffrey Epstein’s main funder Leon Black – Confirms the CalPERS Scandal Was Worse Than the Sanitized Version

In May, I published a detailed history of what I called CalPERS’ “sick, twisted relationship” with Jeffrey Epstein linked Apollo. The piece documented decades of investments, placement-agent payments, conflicts, criminal conduct by former CalPERS officials, and the remarkable fact that Apollo continued to receive CalPERS business long after the scandal exploded.  https://commonsense401kproject.com/2026/05/22/calpers-sick-twisted-relationship-with-jeffrey-epstein-linked-apollo-private-equity/

William D. Cohan’s new 688-page book, Money to Burn: The Unvarnished Truth About Leon Black, Apollo, and the Rise of a New Wall Street, now provides an important independent confirmation of many of those facts. See pages 319-321

And in some respects, Cohan’s telling makes the old CalPERS public-relations narrative look even weaker.

My original article documented a relationship in which CalPERS committed billions to Apollo, bought an ownership stake in Apollo itself, and saw former CalPERS board member Alfred Villalobos receive more than $35 million in Apollo-related commissions across multiple transactions. The article also detailed former CalPERS CEO Federico Buenrostro’s criminal conduct, Villalobos’s role as Apollo’s placement agent, Leon Shahinian’s private-jet trip to New York, and Apollo’s continued relationship with CalPERS afterward. The CommonSense 401k Project

Cohan independently walks through much of this history on pages 319–321 of his book.

Cohan confirms the scale of Apollo’s dependence on CalPERS

Cohan describes CalPERS at the time as both a strategic investor in Apollo’s management company and an approximately $5 billion investor in Apollo funds.

That matters because the placement-agent scandal is sometimes treated as though Apollo were merely one investment manager among hundreds that happened to get caught near a corrupt intermediary.

That framing misses the scale of the relationship.

CalPERS was an extraordinarily important Apollo client.

My earlier investigation identified at least $6.55 billion of documented CalPERS commitments to Apollo vehicles and transactions over time, including commitments after the scandal. The CommonSense 401k Project

Cohan therefore reinforces the core point: this was not some trivial side relationship.

Cohan confirms the extraordinary Villalobos payments

Cohan recounts the investigation into former CalPERS trustee Alfred Villalobos and former CalPERS CEO Federico Buenrostro.

He notes that Villalobos and his firm received more than $60 million in placement-related compensation involving CalPERS business generally.

More specifically, the SEC later alleged that Buenrostro and Villalobos fabricated disclosure documents that induced Apollo to pay placement-agent fees it otherwise would not have paid. The SEC described a $20 million placement-agent fee scheme. SEC

The Justice Department later stated that Villalobos’s ARVCO acted as Apollo’s placement agent in securing approximately $3 billion of CalPERS investments in Apollo-managed funds. DOJ said Apollo ultimately paid ARVCO approximately $14 million after receiving fraudulent disclosure letters. Department of Justice

Those numbers differ because the government proceedings addressed somewhat different transactions and theories. What does not change is the core fact:

Apollo paid Villalobos millions of dollars to help obtain CalPERS money.

The Shahinian episode may be the ugliest part

Cohan devotes substantial attention to Leon Shahinian, the senior CalPERS investment officer responsible for billions of dollars of private-equity investments.

According to Cohan, Shahinian already knew Leon Black and had a good relationship with him.

Cohan makes the obvious point:

“No intermediary was necessary.”

Yet Apollo nevertheless hired Villalobos in connection with the CalPERS transaction.

Villalobos then invited Shahinian to New York for a black-tie Museum of Modern Art event honoring Leon and Debra Black.

Shahinian traveled with Villalobos by private jet.

Villalobos paid the expenses and then billed Apollo approximately:

  • $50,000 for the private jet,
  • $8,000 for hotel expenses, and
  • $1,500 for car services.

Apollo reimbursed those expenses.

About a month later, Shahinian recommended that CalPERS proceed with the Apollo investment.

Cohan says Shahinian did not tell the CalPERS Investment Committee about the New York trip.

This substantially reconfirms the account in my May article. The CommonSense 401k Project

And it raises the same question today that it should have raised then:

Why was a placement agent being paid millions when Apollo already had direct access to the CalPERS official evaluating its investment?

The supposed $125 million “concession” needs to be put in perspective

One element of Cohan’s account deserves more skepticism.

In April 2010, Apollo agreed to reduce fees charged to CalPERS by $125 million over five years and agreed not to use placement agents for future CalPERS commitments. Apollo disclosed the arrangement publicly in its SEC filings. SEC

Contemporary press coverage presented this as a significant concession. CalPERS eventually announced roughly $215 million in fee reductions across multiple managers, with Apollo accounting for $125 million of the total. Los Angeles Times

I don’t view the $125 million in the same way.

Apollo had already made enormous amounts of money from CalPERS before 2010 and would continue making enormous amounts afterward.

CalPERS did not terminate Apollo.

It did not blacklist Apollo.

It did not liquidate every Apollo relationship.

It did not permanently prohibit new Apollo commitments.

Instead, it negotiated a five-year fee reduction while preserving one of CalPERS’ largest private-equity relationships.

That looks much less like punishment when viewed against the economic value of keeping CalPERS as a long-term client.

A useful way to describe it is:

CalPERS recovered $125 million while preserving a relationship worth potentially billions of dollars to Apollo.

That may have been a rational settlement from Apollo’s perspective.

It was also a tremendous public-relations asset for CalPERS.

Management could point to a nine-figure number and say it had forced concessions from Wall Street.

Meanwhile, Apollo remained inside the tent.

The placement-agent promise was even less impressive

Apollo also promised not to use placement agents to obtain future CalPERS commitments.

Again, this sounds stronger in a press release than it does in historical context.

By 2010, the public-pension placement-agent model was already politically radioactive.

CalPERS itself reported in January 2010 that approximately 80% of investment managers had not used placement agents in seeking CalPERS business. Its disclosures showed that ten placement-agent firms nevertheless had received more than $125 million from managers. CalPERS

The scandals were spreading well beyond California. Public-pension placement-agent arrangements became the subject of investigations, enforcement actions, disclosure reforms, bans, and intense press scrutiny around the country.

So Apollo’s promise essentially amounted to:

We will stop using a practice that had just become enormously controversial and increasingly difficult to use anyway.

That is not much of a penalty.

It is certainly not equivalent to disgorgement of Apollo’s historical profits, a ban from managing CalPERS assets, or a fundamental reconsideration of whether Apollo should remain a trusted fiduciary counterparty.

The real winners were CalPERS and Apollo’s public-relations departments

This is the part of the episode that deserves more attention.

Apollo could say:

  • it had not been charged with wrongdoing;
  • it had cooperated;
  • it had voluntarily reduced fees; and
  • it would stop using placement agents with CalPERS.

CalPERS could say:

  • it launched an investigation;
  • it recovered $125 million from Apollo;
  • it imposed reforms; and
  • corrupt individuals were prosecuted.

Both institutions could declare the matter addressed.

The relationship survived.

That is why I do not regard the $125 million fee reduction as dispositive evidence of tough enforcement.

It may instead have functioned as a very inexpensive price for preserving an enormously lucrative institutional relationship.

Apollo had already earned substantial fees from CalPERS and other public pensions. It would earn vastly more in subsequent years.

CalPERS subsequently committed still more money to Apollo vehicles, including hundreds of millions to Apollo Investment Fund VIII, later Apollo Fund IX, Fund X and other strategies. My earlier timeline documents those subsequent commitments. The CommonSense 401k Project

The scandal therefore did not end the relationship.

It appears to have reset it.

Cohan’s book nevertheless deserves credit

This is an important point because before seeing the actual book, I worried that this history might have been omitted or minimized.

It wasn’t.

Cohan devotes several pages to it and includes details that are devastating to the sanitized version of events.

He specifically emphasizes that no intermediary appeared necessary.

He recounts Apollo reimbursing the private-jet and hotel expenses.

He recounts the millions paid to Villalobos.

He recounts the subsequent CalPERS investment recommendation.

He recounts the $125 million fee reduction.

And he notes that Apollo and the other private-equity firms “got off relatively easily” compared with Villalobos and Buenrostro.

That may be the most important judgment in these pages.

Because it is exactly what happened.

Buenrostro went to prison.

Villalobos faced decades in prison before dying prior to trial.

Apollo kept CalPERS.

The larger question remains unanswered

My May article was not simply about events from 2007–2011.

It asked why a relationship engulfed by this history was allowed to continue largely uninterrupted for another decade and a half.

CalPERS went on investing in Apollo.

Apollo became vastly larger.

Public pensions remained central to Apollo’s capital base.

And later controversies—including Leon Black’s extraordinary financial relationship with Jeffrey Epstein—again failed to cause CalPERS to meaningfully sever its Apollo relationship. The CommonSense 401k Project

Cohan’s book reinforces the historical foundation of that question.

It does not answer the question CalPERS still owes its beneficiaries and California taxpayers:

After everything CalPERS learned about this relationship, why did Apollo remain one of its favored private-market partners?

The $125 million did not answer that question.

Ending placement agents did not answer it.

Sending Buenrostro to prison did not answer it.

And fifteen years of additional Apollo business certainly does not answer it.

The scandal wasn’t merely that corruption occurred. The larger scandal may be how successfully the institutions involved survived it.

The 401(k) IPS Illusion: When Weak Policies Protect Fiduciaries and the Industry – More Than Participants

By Chris Tobe | The CommonSense 401k Project

Many workers assume that their 401(k) operates under a serious Investment Policy Statement: written rules that control fees, identify risks, expose conflicts, and hold the investment committee accountable.

That assumption is dangerously optimistic.

An IPS can impose real discipline. It can also consist of reassuring language that leaves nearly every important decision to the committee’s discretion. A document promising “prudent investments” and “periodic review” tells participants little unless it explains what must be investigated, what information must be obtained, and what happens when an investment fails the review.

My concern is that the industry has an incentive to keep these policies weak. Specific standards create a record against which decisions can be judged. Vague standards leave more room to defend almost any decision after the fact.

As I argued in my April 30 Commonsense article, weak policies are especially troubling when retirement products contain opaque fees, contractual restrictions, or underlying investments that participants cannot readily examine. The arrival or proposed expansion of private equity, insurance products, and crypto makes meaningful investment governance more urgent.

Honeywell: A disclosure right can be difficult to enforce

Bloomberg Law reported on October 1, 2026, that participants in the CAES Systems LLC 401(k) plan, associated with a company acquired by Honeywell, lost their remaining claim over failure to provide the plan’s IPS. According to the report, Judge Eumi K. Lee concluded that participants lacked standing because they failed to demonstrate injury from the alleged nondisclosure.

That is a standing ruling. It should not be presented as a blanket decision that plans need no IPS or can always withhold one.

The earlier September 19, 2025, order makes the outcome particularly revealing. Participants alleged that the plan charter required the committee to adopt an investment policy, periodically review it, and oversee compliance. The judge concluded that they plausibly alleged a disclosure obligation under ERISA because a formally adopted policy governing investment decisions could be an instrument under which the plan operated. The disclosure claim survived that motion to dismiss.

Yet the later standing ruling, as reported, prevented participants from pursuing it.

This illustrates a serious accountability problem: participants may face a demand to demonstrate concrete injury from being denied information that could help them understand how their retirement money was managed. A disclosure obligation offers limited practical protection if the people it is supposed to benefit cannot enforce it.

Goldman Sachs: No IPS does not automatically mean a breach

In Falberg v. Goldman Sachs, the district court rejected the argument that failure to adopt an IPS established imprudence. The Second Circuit affirmed in a February 14, 2024, summary order.

The appellate court emphasized that the record showed a deliberative investment process, including independent advice and detailed investment reports. It did not establish that investment committees can dispense with investigation, monitoring, or fiduciary responsibility.

Nevertheless, the practical message available to the industry is clear: a written IPS is not a universal prerequisite to defending a plan’s investment process.

Honeywell and Goldman address different legal questions, but together they expose the weakness in the public’s assumption. Workers cannot simply presume that a meaningful written policy exists, or that they will obtain an effective remedy when access is denied.

Why an empty policy can be attractive

A strong IPS forces difficult questions before a contract is signed.

Who receives compensation? What restrictions apply if the committee wants to leave? Who determines asset values? What happens if an insurer deteriorates? What evidence supports selecting this product over available alternatives?

A superficial IPS can avoid those questions by promising to consider “appropriate factors” without identifying the factors or requiring a documented answer.

I suspect that some sponsors and advisers prefer this flexibility because it reduces the number of specific commitments that participants can test. That is an assessment of the incentives, not a finding that Honeywell or Goldman deliberately weakened policies to conceal misconduct.

The distinction matters. Avoiding a specific written commitment may narrow one avenue of challenge. It does not erase ERISA’s underlying fiduciary duties.

Complex products need specific scrutiny

Private equity demands scrutiny of total fees, carried interest, valuation methods, leverage, capital commitments, and liquidity. A smooth reported return should never substitute for examining how the assets were priced and whether the plan can obtain cash when needed.

General account and separate account fixed annuities demand scrutiny of insurer credit exposure, crediting-rate discretion, embedded spreads, compensation arrangements, surrender charges, market-value adjustments, and restrictions on plan-level withdrawals. A policy that treats “principal protection” as the complete analysis leaves the contractual risks largely unanswered.

Crypto exposure demands scrutiny of volatility, custody, trading costs, valuation, and the precise exposure being purchased. A cryptocurrency holding and an investment in a crypto-related business present different questions.

These are proposed oversight standards. Neither cited case establishes that its plan held private equity, annuities, or crypto.

The same scrutiny should extend inside target-date funds and collective investment trusts. Reviewing the outer wrapper cannot substitute for understanding material underlying exposures and contractual terms.

What participants should demand

A useful IPS should require:

  • A complete accounting of direct and indirect compensation, with reasonable estimates and explanations where exact amounts cannot be obtained.
  • Written review of material contract terms before signing, including exit costs and liquidity under stress.
  • Examination of underlying holdings, valuation methods, leverage, and credit exposure.
  • Identification of conflicts, parties in interest, and applicable prohibited-transaction exemptions and their conditions.
  • Clear monitoring responsibilities, review triggers, and documented reasons for retaining an investment after concerns arise.
  • Participant access to the policy and meaningful explanations of material revisions.

Flexibility can be appropriate. It should come with reasons, records, and accountability.

An IPS cannot guarantee prudent decisions. But a policy that never requires the committee to confront fees, credit risk, liquidity, valuation, or conflicts offers little protection to the people financing the plan.

Workers deserve investment rules that help protect their retirement money. They should not have to mistake a sponsor’s carefully preserved discretion for fiduciary discipline.

Sources

Pension Staff Are Entering Football Coach Pay Territory While Helping Set Their Own Scoreboard

By Christopher B. Tobe | CommonSense 401k Project | October 1, 2026

Public pension executives have joined the ranks of government employees receiving seven-figure compensation. At CalPERS, the chief investment officer collected more than $2.26 million. At Texas Teachers, public-records reporting identified 22 employees receiving at least $1 million in 2024. Wisconsin’s investment board had eight employees above $1 million in its 2025 payroll records.

The biggest college football coaches still earn far more. But public pension staff have entered the compensation territory occupied by many university coaches—and their performance is much harder for the public to judge.

A football coach cannot quietly replace a loss with an appraisal of what the team might have been worth. Pension investment performance, especially where private equity is involved, depends on valuation judgments, reporting conventions and benchmarks that ordinary beneficiaries cannot readily reproduce.

When those same numbers help determine employee bonuses, the people overseeing the investments have a financial interest in the scoreboard.

Millions in pay and a growing national pattern

Pension organizationDocumented compensation finding
CalPERSCIO Stephen Gilmore received $2,260,469 for FY2024–25, including $1,541,719 in annual incentive pay.
CalPERSCEO Marcie Frost who was hired without even a college degree received a $1.15 million incentive award in September 2026, putting her package above $1.7 million when combined with base salary.
Texas TRSCIO Jase Auby received nearly $2.2 million in 2024; 21 other employees also received at least $1 million.
Wisconsin Investment BoardEight employees exceeded $1 million in reported 2025 pay; executive director/CIO Edwin Denson received approximately $1.90 million.
Washington State Investment BoardCEO Allyson Tucker received $725,600 and CIO Christopher Hanak $677,900 in reported 2024 earnings.

These are different reporting periods and compensation measures, rather than a single national ranking. Texas’s unusually large 2024 payout included previously withheld awards. That distinction matters, but it does not erase the scale of the compensation.

Sources: CalPERS compensation analysis and disclosure references, CalMatters on Frost’s September 2026 award, Texas public-records reporting, Wisconsin payroll records, Washington CEO records, Washington CIO records, and Kentucky salary records.

Ohio STRS and the favorable performance number

The most pointed evidence comes from Allen Mendenhall and Dan Sutter’s 2026 paper, Retirement at Risk: The Political Economy of Public Pension Governance.

For 2003–2022, the researchers found that Ohio STRS’s reported investment return exceeded the return they reconstructed from audited financial information in 19 of 20 years. The average difference was approximately 0.33 percentage points annually. They connect the reported measure to investment-staff incentive compensation.

Their estimated $9.3 billion compounded discrepancy is not a finding that employees received $9.3 billion in improper bonuses. It measures the cumulative difference under their calculation.

The paper raises a serious governance question. It does not independently prove intentional falsification or show that private-equity marks caused the entire gap. Differences in cash-flow timing, valuation dates and methodology can systematically affect comparisons; the two return measures must be reconciled before treating the discrepancy as established fraud.

But beneficiaries should not have to take the investment department’s preferred number on faith when that number helps determine its pay.

CommonSense’s July analysis and August follow-up argued that STRS’s reliance on GIPS compliance and performance verification did not resolve the underlying discrepancy. The appropriate answer is a public, independently reviewed reconciliation.

Source: Mendenhall and Sutter’s paper.

Private equity makes the scoreboard harder to check

Publicly traded securities have observable prices. Private-equity interests generally depend on periodic fair-value estimates, often supplied by the managers running the partnerships. Those estimates can be reasonable and still differ materially from the proceeds available in an actual sale.

A valuation increase can therefore contribute to reported pension performance before the pension receives cash from an exit. If that reported performance triggers employee bonuses, staff can be rewarded before the underlying economic result is realized.

Lagged valuations and appraisal-based benchmarks add further complications. They can postpone recognition of market changes and make returns appear smoother. Their effects vary with market conditions; they do not automatically inflate every return.

The incentive problem remains: staff paid for reported outperformance have a personal stake in the valuations and measuring rules. Boards should place those decisions under independent oversight, especially when subsequent write-downs may arrive after bonuses have been paid.

The consultant helps set the pay scale

CommonSense’s September article on Global Governance Advisors examined GGA’s work involving CalPERS and STRS Ohio and its identification of OMERS Ventures among its clients.

The broader concern applies to compensation consulting throughout the industry. Selecting highly paid peers can justify a larger compensation opportunity. Other pensions can then use that newly enlarged package in their own comparisons.

Washington’s official budget materials explicitly describe increases intended to bring investment salary ranges up to peer averages. Florida SBA’s 2025 compensation discussions compared its incentive opportunities with California’s and involved a Mercer benchmarking study.

Those records show how the upward pressure travels. They do not prove that consultants falsified investment returns. They show why trustees must scrutinize both the performance benchmark used to earn a bonus and the compensation benchmark used to enlarge it.

Sources: Washington budget explanation and Florida SBA meeting materials.

Boards must make the bonus calculation reproducible

Pension systems argue that competitive compensation attracts talent and that internal investment management can cost less than outside managers. That argument deserves a fair test: independently measured net returns, appropriate risk comparisons and documented savings.

It cannot be settled by pointing to a high return in a rising market, an easy policy benchmark or another pension’s larger paycheck.

Before approving extraordinary incentive compensation, trustees should require:

  • Public reconciliation of the return used for bonuses with audited financial information.
  • Long-term performance after all investment costs, compared with transparent, investable alternatives.
  • Independent review of private-asset valuations and every material benchmark change.
  • Meaningful deferral and clawbacks when later valuations or realized exits undermine the results that generated bonuses.
  • Disclosure of compensation peer groups, by location like Columbus and Sacremento consultant relationships and each employee’s actual incentive payments.

Public pension staff manage workers’ deferred wages. When they seek compensation approaching the pay of university coaches, beneficiaries deserve a scoreboard they can verify—and a board willing to challenge the people being paid by it.

 https://commonsense401kproject.com/2026/09/19/the-consultant-behind-the-public-pension-pay-machine-gga-helped-legitimize-excessive-pay-at-calpers-strs-ohio-ontario-omers/    

CalPERS: sets its own Excessive Pay – off the Charts

Private Equity Wants Your 401(k)—And Somebody Manufactured 12,000 “Grassroots” Comments to Help It Get There

Warren and Sanders demand answers from Trump’s Labor Department about fake support for private equity, private credit and cryptocurrency

On September 25, Senators Elizabeth Warren and Bernie Sanders sent the Department of Labor a letter containing a question that should stop its proposed alternative-assets rule in its tracks:

Who manufactured nearly 12,000 public comments supporting the effort to open workers’ 401(k) accounts to private equity, private credit, cryptocurrency and other alternative assets?

The comments were supposed to demonstrate grassroots enthusiasm for putting Wall Street’s most opaque, illiquid and expensive products into ordinary retirement plans.

Instead, Bloomberg found five nearly identical templates submitted in similar daily quantities over roughly one week. The supportive comments lacked signatures and meaningful personalization. People whose names appeared on them said they had not submitted them. At least one purported commenter had reportedly been dead for approximately five months.

That is not grassroots support.

It is astroturf—with retirement money at stake.

And the senators’ letter raises an even more disturbing possibility: the Labor Department may have procedures that allow comments submitted under stolen or misused identities to remain in the rulemaking record.

DOL has until October 8 to explain itself

Warren, the ranking member of the Senate Banking Committee, and Sanders, the ranking member of the Senate HELP Committee, directed their questions to Acting Labor Secretary Keith Sonderling and EBSA Assistant Secretary Daniel Aronowitz. They requested answers by October 8, 2026.

Their questions go well beyond asking whether a few names were inaccurate. They ask DOL to disclose:

  • its current guidance for comments containing potentially false identity information;
  • whether that guidance has changed since 2019;
  • whether identity-misused comments are merely relabeled as anonymous and left online;
  • whether DOL is investigating Bloomberg’s findings;
  • whether the investigation is attempting to identify the individual, company, organization or other entity that submitted or coordinated the comments;
  • what submission metadata—including IP-address information—DOL retains and reviews;
  • what controls detect mass submissions under different names; and
  • whether DOL will authenticate the suspect comments before relying on them or claiming public support for the rule.

Those are exactly the right questions.

But DOL should answer one more:

Will it suspend this rulemaking until it can establish the integrity of the administrative record?

The most alarming part may be DOL’s existing policy

The Warren–Sanders letter points to a 2019 Government Accountability Office review of federal comment procedures. According to GAO, DOL guidance said that when someone falsely claims to be a commenter, the identifying information is removed, the comment is treated as anonymous—and the comment remains posted.

GAO also found that DOL’s guidance did not explain how officials determine that a submission used false identity information.

Think about what that means in this docket.

If someone borrowed thousands of names to manufacture support for Wall Street’s preferred rule, DOL’s apparent response might be to erase the names but preserve the manufactured advocacy as anonymous public opinion.

That would solve the identity problem by protecting the fake campaign instead of protecting the people whose identities were misused.

The Administrative Procedure Act may not require agencies to authenticate every commenter. But no serious rulemaking process should treat 12,000 coordinated, possibly unauthorized submissions as equivalent to 12,000 independent expressions of public support.

A template repeated 12,000 times is not 12,000 analyses.

And a stolen name is not a vote.

This is not DOL’s first fake-comment warning

The letter reminds DOL that the problem is not new.

In 2017, The Wall Street Journal examined comments concerning DOL’s earlier fiduciary rule. Forty percent of the individuals contacted reportedly said they had not written the comments attributed to them. Most of the 345 comments examined criticized the fiduciary rule and aligned with Wall Street’s policy position.

GAO later examined public-comment data that included EBSA submissions and estimated that between 5% and 30% of presumed commenters may not have submitted the comments attributed to them.

DOL therefore cannot credibly say it had no warning that its electronic comment system was vulnerable to identity misuse and coordinated flooding.

It was warned.

The same agency is now considering a rule that could channel trillions of dollars of defined-contribution assets toward industries desperate for new capital.

Follow the money, not the fake names

The proposed rule would establish a safe harbor for fiduciaries selecting investments containing private equity, private credit, digital assets and other alternatives.

The industries benefiting from that rule have an obvious economic interest in portraying it as a popular democratization of investments once reserved for wealthy institutions.

But the authentic comment record points in the other direction. According to the senators, more than 30,000 opposing comments generally included identifying details such as a city, state or email address. The nearly 12,000 suspect supportive comments lacked comparable personalization.

That does not prove which person or organization created them. It does establish why DOL must preserve and examine the electronic evidence before finalizing anything.

The investigation should follow:

  • IP addresses and submission timestamps;
  • browser, device and platform metadata retained by Regulations.gov or DOL;
  • identical formatting, typographical artifacts and template variants;
  • referral links and campaign landing pages;
  • vendors or consultants that generated or transmitted the submissions;
  • payments by asset managers, insurers, crypto interests, trade associations or advocacy groups;
  • communications involving DOL, White House or industry personnel; and
  • whether anyone presented the manufactured volume to policymakers as proof of genuine public support.

The relevant question is not merely whose names appeared on the comments.

It is who paid for the campaign, who executed it, who knew about it and whether anyone inside government relied on it.

The sales pitch being amplified was already misleading

The suspect comments did not arise in a vacuum. They supported an industry campaign built around claims that alternative assets will democratize opportunity, improve returns and diversify retirement portfolios.

But, as CommonSense previously explained in “Private Equity’s New 401(k) Sales Pitch: Fake Diversification From Smoothed Numbers”, much of private equity’s reported diversification advantage can be an artifact of valuation.

Public stocks confess their volatility every trading day. Private funds report valuations periodically, often using manager models and stale inputs. That can produce:

Smoothed NAV → lower reported volatility → lower reported correlation → higher reported Sharpe ratio → apparent diversification.

The economic risk did not necessarily disappear.

The ruler changed.

If thousands of manufactured comments were used to amplify a sales pitch already dependent on smoothed numbers, DOL faces two different integrity problems:

  1. Were the commenters authentic?
  2. Were the investment claims authentic?

A prudent fiduciary must demand unsmoothed volatility, stress-period correlations, secondary-market discounts and appropriate liquid comparators before accepting the claim that private equity reduces target-date-fund risk.

The contracts tell a different story from the marketing

CommonSense also reviewed actual private-equity limited-partnership agreements in “The Contracts Private Equity Doesn’t Want 401(k) Participants to See”.

Those agreements reveal an industry that understands ERISA extremely well—and drafts elaborate machinery to keep ERISA from following plan money into underlying fund assets.

The contracts use venture-capital-operating-company exceptions, benefit-plan-investor thresholds, feeder funds, parallel vehicles, alternative investment vehicles, conduit entities and other structures. They disclose potential monitoring, transaction, advisory, financing, breakup, director and affiliated fees. They include transfer restrictions, manager-controlled valuations, indemnification provisions and limitations on withdrawal.

The participant may see only:

Target Date 2055 Fund

Underneath that label may sit:

Target-date CIT → private-market CIT or feeder → conduit vehicle → private-equity partnership → portfolio company.

The industry’s public message is democratization.

Its private contracts are about control, confidentiality, fees, valuation, liquidity and avoiding look-through fiduciary status.

Before DOL offers fiduciaries a safe harbor, it should require them to obtain and analyze every governing contract below the target-date fund. If the industry says the new 401(k) contracts will be different, the answer is simple:

Show them.

Liquidity is where the deception can become a participant loss

The proposed rule identifies liquidity as one of six fiduciary factors. But liquidity cannot be reduced to a checklist entry.

As CommonSense explained in “Liquidity Is a Retirement Risk ERISA Fiduciaries Need to Start Taking Seriously”, there are two separate questions:

  1. Can the participant get out?
  2. Can the plan or target-date fund get out of its underlying investment?

A participant may trade a target-date fund every day even though its private-equity, private-credit or insurance holdings cannot be sold daily at their reported values.

Someone must provide that liquidity. During normal markets it may come from new contributions or sales of public securities. During stress, redemptions can force the liquid portion of the fund to shrink while stale private assets remain. Funds may impose gates, sell assets at discounts or shift losses toward participants who stay behind.

That creates a first-mover problem inside an investment marketed as a simple retirement default.

The central valuation question is equally simple:

If an asset cannot be sold for its reported value, why should its reported value be treated as real?

An asset does not become liquid because a CIT prints a daily unit value. Private equity does not become less volatile because its manager marks it quarterly. And a retirement fund does not become diversified merely because daily-priced public securities are combined with manager-valued private assets in one spreadsheet.

DOL should not finalize a rule built on a contaminated record

The nearly 12,000 suspect comments do not, by themselves, prove that DOL officials participated in or knew about the campaign. They do not identify the sponsor. They do not prove that every supportive comment was unauthorized.

That is why an investigation is necessary.

But DOL should not exploit uncertainty created by the missing investigation. It should not count questionable comments, leave them posted as anonymous support, summarize them as evidence of public sentiment or finalize the rule before determining who submitted them.

At minimum, DOL should:

  1. preserve all comments, submission metadata and internal communications;
  2. identify the common source or sources of the five templates;
  3. notify people whose identities were apparently used without authorization;
  4. flag disputed comments publicly rather than silently relabeling them anonymous;
  5. disclose the number of suspect comments and exclude them from any characterization of public support;
  6. refer potential violations to DOJ and the DOL Inspector General;
  7. release the methodology and findings of its authenticity review; and
  8. withdraw or suspend the proposed rule until the administrative record is trustworthy.

Bottom line

Private equity wants access to workers’ retirement savings.

Its sales pitch relies on smoothed valuations that can manufacture apparent diversification. Its contracts hide fees, conflicts, control and illiquidity beneath layers of entities. And now its political support appears to include nearly 12,000 public comments that may themselves have been manufactured.

The pattern is hard to ignore:

Smoothed numbers manufacture lower risk.

Secret contracts manufacture plausible deniability.

Fake comments manufacture public support.

DOL should not provide a safe harbor for private markets while its own public-comment process may have become a harbor for astroturfing.

Before the Department puts private equity into America’s 401(k) default funds, it must tell the public who tried to put dead people and stolen identities into the rulemaking record.


Primary sources and related CommonSense analysis

Congress Finally Asks Whether America Needs a Federal Insurance Regulator. The Answer Is Yes.

By Christopher B. Tobe, CFA, CAIA | September 2026

For decades, the insurance industry has sold a simple story: Leave oversight to the states, trust the insurer’s rating, and count on a state guaranty association if the insurer fails. That story gets harder to defend when an insurer is part of a national private-equity and private-credit machine.

Now the Congressional Research Service has put a new federal insurance regulator on Congress’s list of options. Its September 23 report, Private Investments and Insurance Companies, does not outright endorse that option. It does something important: it acknowledges that Congress may need to consider a new federal regulator, stronger federal oversight of state supervision, or other federal approaches to the risks. This is the opening Congress should use.

My preferred answer is a CFPB-style federal insurance watchdog, created by Congress with genuine authority over life insurers, annuity products and the financial groups behind them. Consumer protection alone is insufficient. It also needs prudential examination powers: the ability to see the assets, test capital and liquidity, inspect affiliated transactions, and intervene before a retiree misses a payment. Congress should design the agency to work with state insurance departments, the SEC, the Department of Labor and the Financial Stability Oversight Council, with clear authority and duties rather than another advisory committee.

The CRS numbers should end the complacency

CRS reports that the number of private-equity-owned insurers rose from about 25 in 2017 to 139 in 2024. In 2024 they held about $700 billion in cash and invested assets. Life insurers’ private-credit holdings totaled about $849 billion, or 14% of their balance sheets. Private-equity-owned life insurers represented 18% of the annuity market and 33% of the indexed-annuity market that year. These are industry-wide findings, not claims that every insurer has the same exposure. Read the CRS report.

CRS also says private-equity-owned insurers tend to hold more illiquid private investments and affiliated assets than independent insurers. It discusses private ratings, offshore reinsurance, financial engineering and potential regulatory arbitrage. It notes research finding that private ratings can understate credit risk relative to public ratings, with consequences for regulatory capital. None of those facts proves that an individual carrier is insolvent. Together, they make the case for national examination of the entire insurance and asset-management group. CRS report, “PE Ownership and Insurer Private Assets” and “Policy Issues.”

The federal regulatory gap is explicit. CRS says insurers are chartered and regulated by states and that there is no federal regulator akin to those for banks and capital markets. NAIC model rules do not become law unless states adopt them. A multistate insurer can have a national balance sheet and offshore affiliates while its primary supervision rests with its state of domicile. CRS report, “Investment Regulation of Insurers.”

A guaranty association is a cleanup crew, not a risk regulator

CRS states that guaranty funds have coverage limits, so an annuity holder may not be made whole after insolvency. Most are financed by assessments on other insurers after the failure. A guaranty association does not inspect an affiliated loan today, challenge a private rating tomorrow, or guarantee that a pensioner’s full benefit will be paid through a systemic crisis. CRS report, “Policyholder protection.”

I have argued that the post-failure assessment system is inadequate for a large private-credit-related failure. If several insurers hold similar opaque loans, the survivors asked to pay assessments may be short of cash themselves. Congress should require a publicly tested resolution plan for large life insurers and examine a prefunded, risk-based federal layer of protection for retirement annuities. That proposal requires honest funding, defined coverage and insurer-paid premiums; it must not be marketed as an existing federal guarantee.

What the watchdog should be able to do

Congress should give a new federal agency authority to:

  1. Examine the entire group. Obtain records from the insurer, controlling asset manager, affiliated funds and reinsurers, including offshore arrangements and assets routed through intermediaries.
  2. Publish comparable risk disclosures. Report private-credit concentration, related-party exposure, valuation methods, ratings provenance, liquidity stress results, reinsurance recoverables, surrender constraints and material compensation or spreads. Protect genuinely confidential loan details while giving policyholders usable information.
  3. Challenge capital and valuations. Independently test private ratings and asset prices, impose conservative capital treatment where evidence is weak, and order corrective action before insolvency.
  4. Police retirement contracts. Require plain-language disclosures and meaningful pre-failure protections for annuities sold to 401(k) and 403(b) plans and used in pension risk transfers, including enforceable remedies after serious deterioration or downgrade. Coordinate with Labor on ERISA fiduciary and prohibited-transaction questions.
  5. Plan for failure in advance. Require liquidity stress tests and credible resolution plans; assess whether state guaranty associations can meet realistic, simultaneous failure scenarios; and seek congressional authorization for a funded national protection layer.

This is a legislative proposal, not a description of current CFPB powers. As I wrote earlier, CFPB founder Elizabeth Warren has a keen interest as existing federal law generally keeps the business of insurance outside the CFPB’s jurisdiction. Congress would need to create and fund the authority, decide how it shares jurisdiction with states and existing federal agencies, and give it independent examination and enforcement tools. The CFPB model is valuable because it starts with the people who bear the risk and gives a national watchdog the ability to act on their behalf.

The test is whether Congress acts before a collapse

My Security Benefit analysis tied to the current insurance empire that included the LA Dodgers and Lakers and discussion of affiliated private-credit conflicts raise questions about concentration, valuations and liquidity. Those are reasons for rigorous investigation, not findings of insolvency or wrongdoing. A credible regulator would obtain the records, stress the assets and publish defensible conclusions before policyholders are trapped in rehabilitation.

CRS has offered Congress a menu. Congress should choose the option that matches the scale of the business: a national insurance watchdog with consumer-protection, group-supervision and early-intervention powers, backed by a serious plan to fund policyholder protection. Workers and retirees should not discover the limits of state oversight and state guaranty associations only after their insurer fails.

Florida’s Epstein Election Has Four Races and a Pension Money Trail: Will the Next Trustees of the $200 billion plan Scrutinize Apollo and Data Centers?

By Chris Tobe | The CommonSense 401k Project | September 25, 2026

Florida voters are choosing more than a governor this November. They are choosing all three elected trustees of the board that invests Florida public employees’ pension money: the governor, attorney general and chief financial officer. A fourth statewide race, for U.S. Senate, has a current SBA trustee and offers voters a chance to ask who will demand federal answers about Jeffrey Epstein’s financiers.

The Florida Retirement systems at over $200 billion wield tremendous power.  They recently sued the NY Times on behalf of Israel who did not like their rather light genocide coverage.   Also, Marc Rowan the CEO of Apollo and a member of the Gaza committee gave at least $14,000 to Ashley Moody.

Here is the question the campaigns should have to answer: Why is Florida still investing retirement money with Apollo while Congress and labor unions are demanding answers about its founders’ dealings with Epstein?

This is a question about fiduciary judgment, disclosure and accountability. A former Apollo founder’s dealings with Epstein do not establish that Florida’s pension investment was improper or that any candidate participated in Epstein’s crimes. They do make the fund’s exposure, fees, oversight and exit options legitimate election issues.

The holding Florida retirees can actually see

The State Board of Administration’s historically has invested over $1 billion with Apollo over the period that its largest owner and founder Leon Black contributed over $170 million to Jeffrey Epstein.  Latest holdings lists $26,590,431 in Apollo Accord Fund VI, L.P. under the pension plan’s active-credit private-credit holdings.

The same report shows $211.5 billion in Florida Retirement System Pension Plan assets, including $18.9 billion in private equity and $11.4 billion in active credit as of June 30, 2025.

Source: Florida State Board of Administration, 2024–25 Annual Investment Report

Why the Epstein connection cannot be waved away

Senator Ron Wyden’s Finance Committee investigation says Apollo cofounder and former CEO Leon Black paid Epstein $170 million over five years for purported tax and estate-planning advice. Wyden has asked why the payments were so large and referred his findings to the House Oversight Committee in which Black is currently in contempt for not testifying. These are findings and questions from a congressional investigation, not a finding that Apollo’s current funds engaged in Epstein’s abuse.

In February, the American Federation of Teachers and American Association of University Professors asked the SEC to investigate the accuracy of Apollo’s disclosures about its founders’ Epstein contacts. Apollo disputes the suggestion that its other leaders had business or personal relationships with Epstein even though CEO Marc Rowan is specifically referenced in the Epstein files.. It says Black retained him for personal tax work, that Black left Apollo in 2021, and that other Apollo personnel supplied information in connection with that work. A pension trustee should read the unions’ letter, Apollo’s response and the underlying records before deciding whether the manager’s disclosures and controls are satisfactory.

Sources: Senate Finance Committee; AFT/AAUP SEC request; Apollo response.

Three races for three seats at the pension table

Florida’s June 2026 pension investment policy states the governance plainly: the governor chairs the State Board of Administration; the chief financial officer and attorney general are its other two trustees. The board has responsibility for investing Florida Retirement System assets and delegates day-to-day management to its executive director. Trustees cannot pretend they are merely spectators.

OfficeLeading major-party nomineesWhat voters should ask
GovernorByron Donalds (R) and David Jolly (D)Will you order a public review of Apollo exposure, performance, fees, liquidity and disclosure risk before voting on any new commitment?
Attorney generalJames Uthmeier (R) and José Javier Rodríguez (D)What records will you seek about manager diligence and what legal steps would you recommend if material disclosures prove inaccurate?
Chief financial officerBlaise Ingoglia (R) and Annette Taddeo (D)Will you demand a complete accounting of Apollo holdings, including partnerships not obvious from the headline asset-class totals?

Uthmeier and Ingoglia already hold trustee seats by virtue of their current offices; the governor’s seat is held by term-limited Ron DeSantis. The Florida Division of Elections lists the qualified candidates. Trustee responsibility is shared: the existence of a holding does not establish that a particular trustee personally selected it.

Sources: Florida SBA investment policy; Florida Division of Elections candidate list.

The Senate race belongs in this conversation too

Ashley Moody (R), Florida’s former attorney general and now U.S. senator, faces Angie Nixon (D). Moody previously held a seat on the state pension board while serving as attorney general. Neither Senate candidate would become an SBA trustee by winning this race. But both can tell Florida voters whether they will press Treasury, the SEC and congressional investigators to obtain the full financial record of Epstein’s operations and examine whether investors were given complete information about Apollo’s leadership contacts.

Ashley Moody, U.S. Senate. A 2026 FEC itemized receipt identifies Marc J. Rowan, employer “Apollo Mgmt,” occupation “CEO,” as a contributor to Moody for Florida and reports $14,000 election cycle to date in the February/March entries.

Sources: Florida Division of Elections candidate list; Senator Moody biography.

Florida has already written the rule the trustees should apply

Florida’s own investment policy says decisions must rest on pecuniary factors that materially affect risk and return; trustees may not sacrifice return or assume added risk to advance political goals. So the responsible response is not an automatic sale based on outrage. It is a documented review of manager integrity and disclosure risk, contractual rights, fees, valuation, liquidity, performance and the cost of an orderly exit. If those factors support divestment or refusing new commitments, trustees should act. If they reject it, they should publish a reasoned explanation that retirees can inspect.

Florida has taken explicit positions on divestment elsewhere, including restrictions involving companies that boycott Israel. The point here is consistency in scrutiny and public explanation, while applying the legal rules governing each type of investment.

Sources: Florida SBA investment policy; SBA global-governance mandates.

Five questions for every Florida candidate

  1. What is the latest Florida pension market value and unfunded commitment for every Apollo-managed fund or account, directly or through a fund of funds?
  2. How much has Florida paid Apollo and affiliates in management fees, carried interest and other expenses, and what net return did each mandate deliver against a relevant public-market equivalent?
  3. Did SBA diligence assess the information in the Epstein files, the AFT/AAUP SEC request, Wyden’s investigation and Apollo’s response? Will the review be disclosed?
  4. What contractual restrictions, secondary-market discounts or other costs would apply to an exit, and will the trustees stop new commitments while reviewing the facts?
  5. Will you commit to a public vote or written determination explaining whether retaining these investments serves Florida retirees?
  6. Review all the data center investments

Florida teachers, firefighters and other public employees have a right to those answers before the November election. The pension report establishes a real Apollo holding. The congressional and union inquiries establish a real diligence question. Now the candidates seeking control of Florida’s pension board should say what they intend to do about it.

1. What the pension disclosures actually show Apollo and Data Centers

Manager or strategyFlorida’s disclosed exposureWhat the number means
Apollo Investment Funds IV–IX$1.2 billion in combined original commitmentsThese are historical private equity commitments, dating from 1998–2019, in the March 31, 2026 SBA performance schedule. They must not be presented as $1.2 billion invested today.
Apollo Accord Fund VI$26,590,431 market valueA separate active credit holding in the June 30, 2025 annual report, not one of the six private equity funds. Its current 2026 value requires a newer credit schedule.
Silver Lake Partners IV, V and VI$311,527,969 combined NAVThree named technology-focused private equity fund interests at March 31, 2026. This does not establish which portfolio companies or data centers Florida indirectly owns. SBA quarterly schedule.
Blue Owl Digital Infrastructure Fund III$58,092,010 market valueReal estate position at June 30, 2025; SBA notes the manager name changed from IPI Partners III. SBA annual report.
Principal Data Center GI Fund$90,480,219 market valueReal estate position at June 30, 2025. SBA annual report.
Principal Digital Real Estate Fund$81,520,690 market valueReal estate position at June 30, 2025; “digital real estate” is broader than a verified list of data center properties. SBA annual report.

The three specifically named digital infrastructure/real estate funds have a combined reported value of $230,092,919 at June 30, 2025